IDEAS & WRITING
断势
View the illustrated edition · 9 pages









Assess
A New Era: The Arrival of Unprecedented Prosperity
Human society, after enduring the current pains, will quite possibly step into an era of unprecedented economic, cultural, ideological, and technological prosperity.
If enterprises and governments can join hands to build a sufficient income security baseline, supplemented by an extremely sincere "Sun Wukong carving out his heart" type of social consensus, this painful period could entirely be shortened and smoothed out.
Expanding Cognitive Horizons: The Subversion of Scientific and Humanities Boundaries
Humanity's existing cognitive boundaries might be expanded or even subverted at an unprecedented speed.
From marine geology to deep archaeology, from human science to the cosmic sky, and even lost literary treasures (like the whereabouts of the last forty chapters of Dream of the Red Chamber), all could possibly see the light of day again with the blessing of new technologies.
The Logic of Winning: The Compounding Effect Across Fields
The winning code of the future era will highly likely no longer be digging deep in a single lane, but a multi-dimensional, cross-field compounding effect.
With top-tier hybrid talents acting as super hubs, leading top experts in various vertical fields to break through together, this might become the most formidable collaboration paradigm of the future.
And opportunities will most likely emerge at the intersection of the real physical world and the virtual world.
Value Reconstruction: The Emergence of Universal Deflation
The global economy might face a highly probable deflationary trend, and the cost of acquiring material goods may become lower and lower.
Just as Musk once predicted, the absolute wealth threshold needed to build a beautiful home in the future might drop significantly.
This is also why, starting now, we must think about what kind of life we want to live and what kind of person we want to become when materials are abundant.
Core Drive: The Rise of the Imagination Premium
Built on solid underlying logic and execution systems, the value of imagination might historically surpass traditional learning ability and execution.
Daring to dream is perhaps the core energy to break through the endless rat race and drive the next leap in civilization.
Physical Reshaping: Terminal Evolution and Borderless Work
The demand for traditional PCs and laptops might face a massive decline, potentially replaced by a new combination terminal of central computing power + headset/wearable/or any arbitrary form.
The place where work and creation happen might no longer be confined to an office or in front of a screen, but distributed anywhere in any form.
Emotional Anchor: The Irreplaceability of Strong Human Bonds
As collaboration between humans and AI becomes closer, strong human-to-human connections will actually appear more critically important.
The worldly warmth of living together offline, the memories created together (like Ru Meng (Like a Dream) in a Pensieve), the value of these genuine social attributes will become extremely scarce.
Contract Challenges: Structural Shocks in High-Welfare States
The underlying tax structures and social contracts of some high-welfare countries might face the risk of severe shaking.
The only solution to defuse this structural crisis might still be going back to the first point: a joint safety net by enterprises and governments, and a sincere reconstruction like carving out one's heart.
Technological Singularity: Brain-Computer Bottlenecks and Identity Crises
Brain-computer interfaces for consciousness transmission, or any form of transmission media, might become the next ceiling for improving technological efficiency, but they also bring a massive ethical abyss.
Beyond unknown biochemical risks, the bigger challenge perhaps lies in how to prevent identity confusion and the collapse of trust, like the "real and fake Sun Wukong" or the "real and fake Moody".
The Ultimate Hidden Danger: "Horcruxing" and Everything as a Medium
Future information transmission terminals might no longer be limited to phones; any tiny object could possibly transform into a node with recording and transmitting functions at an extremely low cost.
If used for evil, they might become "Voldemort's Horcruxes" swimming around, monitoring privacy, and causing chaos; but if regulated with mindfulness and used well, they could absolutely become angels guarding human civilization (the solution still coming back to Sun Wukong carving out his heart).